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Interesting question.
<snips>The south would have been better off with ten years of patience and with its assets in tact.
<snips>
But the southern political power brokers have no time.
the border slave states are rapidly becoming less so.
Immigration and manumission are rapidly decreasing the number of slave-holders in the upper south. In Maryland, Missouri and Arkansas, less than 20% of families own slaves. Historically, as states reach 10%, slave-holder political clout wanes and abolition follows.
The lower south has to do something drastic and soon…and it does…